Solar panel cost in Ceredigion (SY23)

See realistic solar installation costs, savings and payback for SY23 (Ceredigion) in under a minute using official UK data. Start with the calculator, then get a no-obligation quote from an MCS-certified installer. You can also ask the SolarByPostcode assistant to sanity-check your roof, bills and plans.

Solar Calculator

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System Size

Roof Direction

Battery Storage

Export Value

Your Numbers

Break-even
10.3 years
After this, it's pure profit
Upfront Cost
£9,767
What you pay to get started
Annual Benefit
£946
What you save every year
Profit Over 25 Years
£13,895
After paying itself off, you're this much ahead

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How we calculate this

Solar generation: Based on typical south-facing roof at 35° angle. We account for weather, dirt, and system losses (14%).

How much you'll use directly:

  • Without battery: You'll use about 40% of what you generate. The rest gets sold back to the grid.
  • With 5 kWh battery: You'll use about 70% (battery stores extra for evening use).
  • With 10 kWh battery: You'll use about 75% (more storage means less exported).
  • Panel-only payback: The official cost per kW is lower above 4 kW, so a 5–6 kW system can pay back a little faster than a 3–4 kW system on otherwise identical assumptions.
  • Battery & payback: Batteries raise self-use and cut bills, but added hardware cost often lengthens break-even at typical UK rates.
  • When a battery can still make sense:
    • Evening-heavy usage patterns
    • Time-of-use tariffs / cheap night rates
    • Low export rate vs. high unit rate
    • Heat pump or EV charging synergy
    • Optional backup/resilience (system-dependent)
    • Lower evening-hour CO₂ vs. grid

Panel costs: Uses March 2026 TIC mean installation costs: £1,827/kW up to 4 kW and £1,628/kW above 4 kW.

Other costs: Battery prices are modelled at £700 per kWh. Export tariffs vary by supplier (usually 5–15p per kWh).

Grid connection: Systems up to about 3.7 kW typically need just a notification (G98). Larger systems may need permission (G99).

These are typical values based on average usage patterns. Your actual results will vary based on your roof, shading, and how you use electricity.

Your area in context

Read the full story

A typical roof here lands around 6.0 kW, with most eligible homes comfortably fitting within 3–6 kW. Each kilowatt of panels produces roughly 924 kWh per year on a south-facing roof. We value self-used electricity at 27.7p and exported surplus at a baseline 10p via SEG. Use the calculator above for your exact tariff.

Unit rate
27.7p/kWh
Standing charge
70.8p/day
Sunshine yield (south)
924 kWh/kW
Export price (baseline)
10p/kWh

Browse the scenarios below. Each battery size has its own expand — open the one that matches your plan (or just explore). For each system size (2–8 kW) we show annual output, how much you use directly, what gets exported, annual benefit, upfront cost, break-even, and a 20-year net. Negative numbers are possible — that’s the honest trade-off when adding more battery than your usage profile justifies.

No battery 5 kW example → Annual benefit: £789, Upfront: £8,139, Break-even: 10.3 yrs
System Annual output Self-use Exported Bill saving Export income Annual benefit Upfront cost Break-even 20-year net
2 kW 1849 kWh 740 kWh 1109 kWh £205 £111 £315 £3,256 10.3 yrs £3,054
3 kW 2773 kWh 1109 kWh 1664 kWh £307 £166 £473 £4,883 10.3 yrs £4,581
4 kW 3698 kWh 1479 kWh 2219 kWh £409 £222 £631 £6,511 10.3 yrs £6,108
5 kW 4622 kWh 1849 kWh 2773 kWh £511 £277 £789 £8,139 10.3 yrs £7,636
6 kW 5547 kWh 2219 kWh 3328 kWh £614 £333 £946 £9,767 10.3 yrs £9,163
7 kW 6471 kWh 2588 kWh 3883 kWh £716 £388 £1,104 £11,394 10.3 yrs £10,690
8 kW 7395 kWh 2958 kWh 4437 kWh £818 £444 £1,262 £13,022 10.3 yrs £12,217

Assumptions: south-facing, sensible tilt; self-use shares from site rules; export at 10p baseline. Costs: panels £/kW = 1,628, battery £/kWh = 700.

3 kWh battery 5 kW example → Annual benefit: £952, Upfront: £10,239, Break-even: 10.8 yrs
System Annual output Self-use Exported Bill saving Export income Annual benefit Upfront cost Break-even 20-year net
2 kW 1849 kWh 1109 kWh 740 kWh £307 £74 £381 £5,356 14.1 yrs £2,260
3 kW 2773 kWh 1664 kWh 1109 kWh £460 £111 £571 £6,983 12.2 yrs £4,440
4 kW 3698 kWh 2219 kWh 1479 kWh £614 £148 £762 £8,611 11.3 yrs £6,620
5 kW 4622 kWh 2773 kWh 1849 kWh £767 £185 £952 £10,239 10.8 yrs £8,801
6 kW 5547 kWh 3328 kWh 2219 kWh £921 £222 £1,142 £11,867 10.4 yrs £10,981
7 kW 6471 kWh 3883 kWh 2588 kWh £1,074 £259 £1,333 £13,494 10.1 yrs £13,161
8 kW 7395 kWh 4437 kWh 2958 kWh £1,227 £296 £1,523 £15,122 9.9 yrs £15,341

Assumptions: south-facing, sensible tilt; self-use shares from site rules; export at 10p baseline. Costs: panels £/kW = 1,628, battery £/kWh = 700.

5 kWh battery 5 kW example → Annual benefit: £1,034, Upfront: £11,639, Break-even: 11.3 yrs
System Annual output Self-use Exported Bill saving Export income Annual benefit Upfront cost Break-even 20-year net
2 kW 1849 kWh 1294 kWh 555 kWh £358 £55 £413 £6,756 16.3 yrs £1,513
3 kW 2773 kWh 1941 kWh 832 kWh £537 £83 £620 £8,383 13.5 yrs £4,020
4 kW 3698 kWh 2588 kWh 1109 kWh £716 £111 £827 £10,011 12.1 yrs £6,526
5 kW 4622 kWh 3235 kWh 1387 kWh £895 £139 £1,034 £11,639 11.3 yrs £9,033
6 kW 5547 kWh 3883 kWh 1664 kWh £1,074 £166 £1,240 £13,267 10.7 yrs £11,540
7 kW 6471 kWh 4530 kWh 1941 kWh £1,253 £194 £1,447 £14,894 10.3 yrs £14,046
8 kW 7395 kWh 5177 kWh 2219 kWh £1,432 £222 £1,654 £16,522 10.0 yrs £16,553

Assumptions: south-facing, sensible tilt; self-use shares from site rules; export at 10p baseline. Costs: panels £/kW = 1,628, battery £/kWh = 700.

7.5 kWh battery 5 kW example → Annual benefit: £1,058, Upfront: £13,389, Break-even: 12.7 yrs
System Annual output Self-use Exported Bill saving Export income Annual benefit Upfront cost Break-even 20-year net
2 kW 1849 kWh 1350 kWh 499 kWh £373 £50 £423 £8,506 20.1 yrs £-41
3 kW 2773 kWh 2024 kWh 749 kWh £560 £75 £635 £10,133 16.0 yrs £2,564
4 kW 3698 kWh 2699 kWh 998 kWh £747 £100 £846 £11,761 13.9 yrs £5,168
5 kW 4622 kWh 3374 kWh 1248 kWh £933 £125 £1,058 £13,389 12.7 yrs £7,773
6 kW 5547 kWh 4049 kWh 1498 kWh £1,120 £150 £1,270 £15,017 11.8 yrs £10,377
7 kW 6471 kWh 4724 kWh 1747 kWh £1,307 £175 £1,481 £16,644 11.2 yrs £12,982
8 kW 7395 kWh 5399 kWh 1997 kWh £1,493 £200 £1,693 £18,272 10.8 yrs £15,587

Assumptions: south-facing, sensible tilt; self-use shares from site rules; export at 10p baseline. Costs: panels £/kW = 1,628, battery £/kWh = 700.

10 kWh battery 5 kW example → Annual benefit: £1,074, Upfront: £15,139, Break-even: 14.1 yrs
System Annual output Self-use Exported Bill saving Export income Annual benefit Upfront cost Break-even 20-year net
2 kW 1849 kWh 1387 kWh 462 kWh £384 £46 £430 £10,256 23.9 yrs £-1,660
3 kW 2773 kWh 2080 kWh 693 kWh £575 £69 £645 £11,883 18.4 yrs £1,010
4 kW 3698 kWh 2773 kWh 924 kWh £767 £92 £860 £13,511 15.7 yrs £3,679
5 kW 4622 kWh 3467 kWh 1156 kWh £959 £116 £1,074 £15,139 14.1 yrs £6,349
6 kW 5547 kWh 4160 kWh 1387 kWh £1,151 £139 £1,289 £16,767 13.0 yrs £9,019
7 kW 6471 kWh 4853 kWh 1618 kWh £1,342 £162 £1,504 £18,394 12.2 yrs £11,689
8 kW 7395 kWh 5547 kWh 1849 kWh £1,534 £185 £1,719 £20,022 11.6 yrs £14,359

Assumptions: south-facing, sensible tilt; self-use shares from site rules; export at 10p baseline. Costs: panels £/kW = 1,628, battery £/kWh = 700.

13.5 kWh battery 5 kW example → Annual benefit: £1,091, Upfront: £17,589, Break-even: 16.1 yrs
System Annual output Self-use Exported Bill saving Export income Annual benefit Upfront cost Break-even 20-year net
2 kW 1849 kWh 1424 kWh 425 kWh £394 £43 £436 £12,706 29.1 yrs £-3,980
3 kW 2773 kWh 2135 kWh 638 kWh £591 £64 £654 £14,333 21.9 yrs £-1,244
4 kW 3698 kWh 2847 kWh 850 kWh £788 £85 £873 £15,961 18.3 yrs £1,491
5 kW 4622 kWh 3559 kWh 1063 kWh £984 £106 £1,091 £17,589 16.1 yrs £4,226
6 kW 5547 kWh 4271 kWh 1276 kWh £1,181 £128 £1,309 £19,217 14.7 yrs £6,961
7 kW 6471 kWh 4983 kWh 1488 kWh £1,378 £149 £1,527 £20,844 13.7 yrs £9,696
8 kW 7395 kWh 5694 kWh 1701 kWh £1,575 £170 £1,745 £22,472 12.9 yrs £12,431

Assumptions: south-facing, sensible tilt; self-use shares from site rules; export at 10p baseline. Costs: panels £/kW = 1,628, battery £/kWh = 700.

Figures are illustrative and use the same method as the calculator above. For exact results, adjust your roof direction, tariff, and usage in the calculator.

Before you request quotes in Ceredigion

Use the numbers above to sanity-check installer quotes. The main things to compare are system size, battery assumptions, payback claims, MCS certification, DNO paperwork and export assumptions.

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Seasonal solar output in SY23

Monthly generation per kilowatt of solar panels

kWh 32 Jan 50 Feb 82 Mar 111 Apr 121 May 116 Jun 112 Jul 100 Aug 82 Sep 57 Oct 36 Nov 26 Dec
Best month Worst month Winter (Dec–Feb) Other months

Winter output: 46.6% of an average month (Dec–Feb)

Best / worst month: May / Dec

These figures show output per kilowatt (kW) of panels installed. In winter, a 1 kW system here produces about 36 kWh per month; the average month produces around 77 kWh. So a typical 4 kW home system would generate roughly 143 kWh in winter, or 308 kWh in an average month.

Your Area at a Glance

Your Electricity Rate
27.66p/kWh
Daily Fixed Charge
70.76p/day
Local Sunshine
924kWh/kW
A 1 kW system generates ~924 kWh per year. A typical home uses ~2,700 kWh per year.
Typical System Size
6.0kW
For houses & bungalows in this area

Local Property Data

Property Types

Houses: 59% • Flats: 26% • Bungalows: 13% Based on 8,494 properties

Coverage

Ceredigion (100%)

Areas Covered

Aberystwyth Morfa a Glais, Llanfarian, Llanbadarn Fawr, Ystwyth, Melindwr, Llansanffraid, Aberystwyth Rheidol, Llanrhystyd + 4 more

Data Sources & Assumptions

Solar yield: PVGIS (EU Joint Research Centre), January 2025 data

Electricity rates: Ofgem price cap, Q3 2026

Installation costs: DESNZ/MCS data, March 2026 (TIC)

Property data: EPC open data (Open Government Licence), aggregated

All estimates are typical values. Actual results vary based on your specific situation, roof characteristics, and usage patterns.