Solar explained to clever people by people who are not trying to be clever

Solar Panels in BT28 (Lisburn and Castlereagh)

See if solar pays off for you in Lisburn and Castlereagh — price, savings and payback in under a minute (official UK data).

Solar Calculator

Change the settings below to see how costs and savings work for your situation.

System Size

Roof Direction

Battery Storage

Export Value

Your Numbers

Break-even
37.9 years
After this, it's pure profit
Upfront Cost
£12,207
What you pay to get started
Annual Benefit
£322
What you save every year
Profit Over 25 Years
£-4,155
After paying itself off, you're this much ahead

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How we calculate this

Solar generation: Based on typical south-facing roof at 35° angle. We account for weather, dirt, and system losses (14%).

How much you'll use directly:

  • Without battery: You'll use about 40% of what you generate. The rest gets sold back to the grid.
  • With 5 kWh battery: You'll use about 70% (battery stores extra for evening use).
  • With 10 kWh battery: You'll use about 75% (more storage means less exported).
  • Panel-only payback: Bigger systems don’t shorten payback—cost and savings rise together per kW.
  • Battery & payback: Batteries raise self-use and cut bills, but added hardware cost often lengthens break-even at typical UK rates.
  • When a battery can still make sense:
    • Evening-heavy usage patterns
    • Time-of-use tariffs / cheap night rates
    • Low export rate vs. high unit rate
    • Heat pump or EV charging synergy
    • Optional backup/resilience (system-dependent)
    • Lower evening-hour CO₂ vs. grid

Costs: Battery prices are typically £700 per kWh. Export tariffs vary by supplier (usually 5–15p per kWh).

Grid connection: Systems up to about 3.7 kW typically need just a notification (G98). Larger systems may need permission (G99).

These are typical values based on average usage patterns. Your actual results will vary based on your roof, shading, and how you use electricity.

Your area in context

Read the full story

A typical roof here lands around 6.0 kW, with most eligible homes comfortably fitting within 3–6 kW. Each kilowatt of panels produces roughly 895 kWh per year on a south-facing roof. We value self-used electricity at 0.0p and exported surplus at a baseline 10p via SEG. Use the calculator above for your exact tariff.

Unit rate
0.0p/kWh
Standing charge
0.0p/day
Sunshine yield (south)
895 kWh/kW
Export price (baseline)
10p/kWh

Browse the scenarios below. Each battery size has its own expand — open the one that matches your plan (or just explore). For each system size (2–8 kW) we show annual output, how much you use directly, what gets exported, annual benefit, upfront cost, break-even, and a 20-year net. Negative numbers are possible — that’s the honest trade-off when adding more battery than your usage profile justifies.

No battery 5 kW example → Annual benefit: £268, Upfront: £10,173, Break-even: 37.9 yrs
System Annual output Self-use Exported Bill saving Export income Annual benefit Upfront cost Break-even 20-year net
2 kW 1789 kWh 716 kWh 1074 kWh £0 £107 £107 £4,069 37.9 yrs £-1,922
3 kW 2684 kWh 1074 kWh 1610 kWh £0 £161 £161 £6,104 37.9 yrs £-2,883
4 kW 3579 kWh 1431 kWh 2147 kWh £0 £215 £215 £8,138 37.9 yrs £-3,844
5 kW 4473 kWh 1789 kWh 2684 kWh £0 £268 £268 £10,173 37.9 yrs £-4,805
6 kW 5368 kWh 2147 kWh 3221 kWh £0 £322 £322 £12,207 37.9 yrs £-5,766
7 kW 6262 kWh 2505 kWh 3757 kWh £0 £376 £376 £14,242 37.9 yrs £-6,727
8 kW 7157 kWh 2863 kWh 4294 kWh £0 £429 £429 £16,276 37.9 yrs £-7,688

Assumptions: south-facing, sensible tilt; self-use shares from site rules; export at 10p baseline. Costs: panels £/kW = 2,035, battery £/kWh = 700.

3 kWh battery 5 kW example → Annual benefit: £179, Upfront: £12,273, Break-even: 68.6 yrs
System Annual output Self-use Exported Bill saving Export income Annual benefit Upfront cost Break-even 20-year net
2 kW 1789 kWh 1074 kWh 716 kWh £0 £72 £72 £6,169 86.2 yrs £-4,738
3 kW 2684 kWh 1610 kWh 1074 kWh £0 £107 £107 £8,204 76.4 yrs £-6,056
4 kW 3579 kWh 2147 kWh 1431 kWh £0 £143 £143 £10,238 71.5 yrs £-7,375
5 kW 4473 kWh 2684 kWh 1789 kWh £0 £179 £179 £12,273 68.6 yrs £-8,694
6 kW 5368 kWh 3221 kWh 2147 kWh £0 £215 £215 £14,307 66.6 yrs £-10,013
7 kW 6262 kWh 3757 kWh 2505 kWh £0 £250 £250 £16,342 65.2 yrs £-11,332
8 kW 7157 kWh 4294 kWh 2863 kWh £0 £286 £286 £18,376 64.2 yrs £-12,650

Assumptions: south-facing, sensible tilt; self-use shares from site rules; export at 10p baseline. Costs: panels £/kW = 2,035, battery £/kWh = 700.

5 kWh battery 5 kW example → Annual benefit: £134, Upfront: £13,673, Break-even: 101.9 yrs
System Annual output Self-use Exported Bill saving Export income Annual benefit Upfront cost Break-even 20-year net
2 kW 1789 kWh 1252 kWh 537 kWh £0 £54 £54 £7,569 141.0 yrs £-6,495
3 kW 2684 kWh 1879 kWh 805 kWh £0 £81 £81 £9,604 119.3 yrs £-7,993
4 kW 3579 kWh 2505 kWh 1074 kWh £0 £107 £107 £11,638 108.4 yrs £-9,491
5 kW 4473 kWh 3131 kWh 1342 kWh £0 £134 £134 £13,673 101.9 yrs £-10,989
6 kW 5368 kWh 3757 kWh 1610 kWh £0 £161 £161 £15,707 97.5 yrs £-12,486
7 kW 6262 kWh 4384 kWh 1879 kWh £0 £188 £188 £17,742 94.4 yrs £-13,984
8 kW 7157 kWh 5010 kWh 2147 kWh £0 £215 £215 £19,776 92.1 yrs £-15,482

Assumptions: south-facing, sensible tilt; self-use shares from site rules; export at 10p baseline. Costs: panels £/kW = 2,035, battery £/kWh = 700.

7.5 kWh battery 5 kW example → Annual benefit: £121, Upfront: £15,423, Break-even: 127.7 yrs
System Annual output Self-use Exported Bill saving Export income Annual benefit Upfront cost Break-even 20-year net
2 kW 1789 kWh 1306 kWh 483 kWh £0 £48 £48 £9,319 192.9 yrs £-8,353
3 kW 2684 kWh 1959 kWh 725 kWh £0 £72 £72 £11,354 156.7 yrs £-9,904
4 kW 3579 kWh 2612 kWh 966 kWh £0 £97 £97 £13,388 138.6 yrs £-11,456
5 kW 4473 kWh 3265 kWh 1208 kWh £0 £121 £121 £15,423 127.7 yrs £-13,007
6 kW 5368 kWh 3919 kWh 1449 kWh £0 £145 £145 £17,457 120.5 yrs £-14,558
7 kW 6262 kWh 4572 kWh 1691 kWh £0 £169 £169 £19,492 115.3 yrs £-16,110
8 kW 7157 kWh 5225 kWh 1932 kWh £0 £193 £193 £21,526 111.4 yrs £-17,661

Assumptions: south-facing, sensible tilt; self-use shares from site rules; export at 10p baseline. Costs: panels £/kW = 2,035, battery £/kWh = 700.

10 kWh battery 5 kW example → Annual benefit: £112, Upfront: £17,173, Break-even: 153.6 yrs
System Annual output Self-use Exported Bill saving Export income Annual benefit Upfront cost Break-even 20-year net
2 kW 1789 kWh 1342 kWh 447 kWh £0 £45 £45 £11,069 247.5 yrs £-10,174
3 kW 2684 kWh 2013 kWh 671 kWh £0 £67 £67 £13,104 195.3 yrs £-11,762
4 kW 3579 kWh 2684 kWh 895 kWh £0 £89 £89 £15,138 169.2 yrs £-13,349
5 kW 4473 kWh 3355 kWh 1118 kWh £0 £112 £112 £17,173 153.6 yrs £-14,936
6 kW 5368 kWh 4026 kWh 1342 kWh £0 £134 £134 £19,207 143.1 yrs £-16,523
7 kW 6262 kWh 4697 kWh 1566 kWh £0 £157 £157 £21,242 135.7 yrs £-18,110
8 kW 7157 kWh 5368 kWh 1789 kWh £0 £179 £179 £23,276 130.1 yrs £-19,698

Assumptions: south-facing, sensible tilt; self-use shares from site rules; export at 10p baseline. Costs: panels £/kW = 2,035, battery £/kWh = 700.

13.5 kWh battery 5 kW example → Annual benefit: £103, Upfront: £19,623, Break-even: 190.7 yrs
System Annual output Self-use Exported Bill saving Export income Annual benefit Upfront cost Break-even 20-year net
2 kW 1789 kWh 1378 kWh 412 kWh £0 £41 £41 £13,519 328.5 yrs £-12,696
3 kW 2684 kWh 2067 kWh 617 kWh £0 £62 £62 £15,554 252.0 yrs £-14,319
4 kW 3579 kWh 2755 kWh 823 kWh £0 £82 £82 £17,588 213.7 yrs £-15,942
5 kW 4473 kWh 3444 kWh 1029 kWh £0 £103 £103 £19,623 190.7 yrs £-17,565
6 kW 5368 kWh 4133 kWh 1235 kWh £0 £123 £123 £21,657 175.4 yrs £-19,188
7 kW 6262 kWh 4822 kWh 1440 kWh £0 £144 £144 £23,692 164.5 yrs £-20,811
8 kW 7157 kWh 5511 kWh 1646 kWh £0 £165 £165 £25,726 156.3 yrs £-22,434

Assumptions: south-facing, sensible tilt; self-use shares from site rules; export at 10p baseline. Costs: panels £/kW = 2,035, battery £/kWh = 700.

Figures are illustrative and use the same method as the calculator above. For exact results, adjust your roof direction, tariff, and usage in the calculator.

Your Area at a Glance

Your Electricity Rate
0.00p/kWh
Daily Fixed Charge
0.00p/day
Local Sunshine
895kWh/kW
A 1 kW system generates ~895 kWh per year. A typical home uses ~2,700 kWh per year.
Typical System Size
6.0kW
For houses & bungalows in this area

Local Property Data

Property Types

No EPC data available for this outcode

Coverage

Lisburn and Castlereagh (100%)

Areas Covered

Old Warren, Ballymacoss, White Mountain, Knockmore, Wallace Park, Lagan Valley, Hilden, Ballymacash + 4 more

Data Sources & Assumptions

Solar yield: PVGIS (EU Joint Research Centre), January 2025 data

Electricity rates: Ofgem price cap, Q4 2025

Installation costs: MCS certified installer data, March 2025

Property data: EPC open data (Open Government Licence), aggregated

All estimates are typical values. Actual results vary based on your specific situation, roof characteristics, and usage patterns.